Jordan Kern
Department of Forestry and Environmental Resources
Assistant Professor
College of Natural Resources
Jordan Hall Addition 3219
Bio
Stochastic modeling of coupled natural-human systems in order to: 1) improve understanding of emergent risks to people and the environment across sectors and scales; and 2) develop novel approaches for mitigating these vulnerabilities.
Education
Ph.D. Environmental Sciences and Engineering University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill 2014
M.S. Environmental Sciences and Engineering University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill 2010
B.S. Environmental Sciences University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill 2007
Publications
- Investigating the effects of cooperative transmission expansion planning on grid performance during heat waves with varying spatial scales , APPLIED ENERGY (2024)
- Multi-objective optimization of sustainable aviation fuel production pathways in the US Corn Belt , BIOMASS & BIOENERGY (2025)
- An open-source framework for balancing computational speed and fidelity in production cost models , Environmental Research: Energy (2023)
- Dual Impacts of Space Heating Electrification and Climate Change Increase Uncertainties in Peak Load Behavior and Grid Capacity Requirements in Texas , Earth's Future (2024)
- Exploring the benefits of integrated energy-water management in reducing economic and environmental tradeoffs , Environmental Research: Energy (2024)
- Green hydrogen exports in New Zealand and Chile can improve electricity supply security if configured as local energy insurance , Energy (2024)
- High-resolution, open-source modeling of inland flooding impacts on the North Carolina bulk electric power grid , Environmental Research: Energy (2024)
- Opportunities for wave energy in bulk power system operations , APPLIED ENERGY (2023)
- U.S. West Coast droughts and heat waves exacerbate pollution inequality and can evade emission control policies , Nature Communications (2023)
- Assessing risks for New England's wholesale electricity market from wind power losses during extreme winter storms , Energy (2022)
Grants
The Science and Technologies for Phosphorus Sustainability (STEPS) Center is a convergence research hub for addressing the fundamental challenges associated with phosphorus sustainability. The vision of STEPS is to develop new scientific and technological solutions to regulating, recovering and reusing phosphorus that can readily be adopted by society through fundamental research conducted by a broad, highly interdisciplinary team. Key outcomes include new atomic-level knowledge of phosphorus interactions with engineered and natural materials, new understanding of phosphorus mobility at industrial, farm, and landscape scales, and prioritization of best management practices and strategies drawn from diverse stakeholder perspectives. Ultimately, STEPS will provide new scientific understanding, enabling new technologies, and transformative improvements in phosphorus sustainability.
This proposed work will weave together new and existing knowledge about natural hazards, power systems, and financial/economic markets in order to explore interdependencies and feedbacks between the U.S. power sector������������������s efforts to manage extreme weather and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Research efforts will focus on developing a deep understanding of system dynamics in different testbeds distributed across the U.S. These testbeds will facilitate investigation of how regional differences in natural resources, climate, infrastructure, and human institutions shape interactions between extreme weather and decarbonization efforts. The unifying thread throughout, and the major research objective of this proposal, is the development and application of a systems analysis framework for resilient and robust management of weather risk in grids transitioning to renewable energy.
Collaboration between Colorado School of Mines, NC State, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and National Renewable Energy Laboratory. Study will examine the probability of drought causing "dead pool" events at reservoirs in the Western United States (where water levels fall so low that hydropower production is impossible), and the impacts on the cost and reliability of bulk electric power system operations.
This project will develop an improved understanding of the coupled dynamics among the natural processes that underpin drought and poor air quality, the human systems that manage water resources and electricity supply, and localized human exposure to fine particulate matter and ozone pollution, all under the influence of two anthropogenic drivers: technology adoption and climate change.
The overarching goal of the proposed research tasks for the NCSU team in Phase 2 of IM3 is to help develop new, open source operational models of the U.S. bulk electric power system, one for each of the three regional interconnections: the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC); the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT); and the Eastern Interconnection (EIC). These models will then be used by NCSU and other members of the IM3 team to address the impacts of weather and water dynamics in the simulation of grid operations in Experiment Groups B and D as described in the IM3 Phase 2 proposal